The Oracle Report

The forecast desk for the runs you plan a season around. Snowpack, weather models, and live gauges go in; out comes the window each classic run comes in, called weeks ahead — dates for the Sierra multidays, day-by-day odds for the Stikine. And every call is graded against what the river actually did: the receipts live on each page, hits and misses alike.

STIKINE — GRAND CANYON

odds, not a date

OPENstate: Open · odds curve inside

good under 550 cms at Telegraph Ck · now 295fall rain re-closes it in 4 of 10 years

MIDDLE KINGS

usually within ~5 days

WRAPPEDwas in Jun 21 → Jul 01 · 10-day window

good 1,800 → 900 cfs (Rogers Crossing) · now ≈163snow 64% of normal → 10 days instead of the usual 21

DEVILS POSTPILE

usually within ~5 days

WRAPPEDwas in Jun 21 → Jul 02 · 11-day window

good 250 → 100 cfs at the Postpile gauge · now 80snow 48% of normal · late-May false start, real window opened Jun 21

UPPER CHERRY

usually within ~3 days

WRAPPEDwas in Jun 11 → Jun 16 · 5-day window on the creek

good 200 → 145 cfs on the creek itself (CDEC UCC)snow 34% of normal · called Jun 11, creek came in Jun 11

FANTASY FALLS

usually within ~2 days

WRAPPEDprime opened ~May 15 · windows here run 3–9 days

good 800 → 600 cfs inflow to Salt Springssnow 16% of normal — thinnest in the Sierra this year

These are forecasts, not gauge readings. Check the live gauge before you commit to travel. Seen a run come in? Let us know — real dates improve next year's forecast.